Argentina’s World Cup repeat dream hinges on defence vs Algeria

Argentina’s quest to become the first team since Brazil in 1962 to retain the World Cup begins in Kansas City on Tuesday night, but the focus is squarely on whether their defence can hold firm against Algeria. The Albiceleste arrive as tournament favourites, yet the odds are stacked against any side attempting to win back-to-back titles on foreign soil. Italy managed the feat in 1938, but only on home turf; Brazil’s repeat in 1962 came in Chile. Argentina, by contrast, must defy history in the United States, where no reigning champion has ever successfully defended their crown.

Defending champions face defensive doubts

Lionel Scaloni’s side have conceded just six goals in their last 20 matches, a run that includes three consecutive trophies: the 2021 and 2024 Copa América titles and the 2022 World Cup. Yet their defensive record masks vulnerabilities that Algeria, a side capable of quick transitions and direct play, could exploit. Scaloni himself has downplayed the significance of the opener, insisting that “the first game is not fundamental,” but the reality is that a slip-up against a side ranked 33rd in the world would raise immediate questions about their title credentials.

Emiliano Martínez, Argentina’s World Cup-winning goalkeeper, is expected to start despite a fractured ring finger, while Lionel Messi, nursing a hamstring strain, is also fit enough to feature. Scaloni confirmed both players are available, describing Messi as “monumental” and Martínez as ready to perform. Julián Álvarez, too, has recovered from an ankle injury and will be in contention. The manager’s calm demeanour suggests confidence, but the defensive unit remains the biggest variable.

Algeria’s threat demands tactical clarity

Algeria, under Djamel Belmadi, have shown they can trouble top sides with their high pressing and rapid transitions. Their 2-1 win over Brazil in March 2024 proved they can disrupt even the most settled opponents. Argentina’s backline, built around Lisandro Martínez and Nicolás Otamendi, will need to remain compact and disciplined, particularly against a forward line featuring Islam Slimani and Riyad Mahrez. Scaloni’s preference for a back three in recent friendlies offers flexibility, but Algeria’s ability to exploit spaces between the lines could force Argentina into unfamiliar territory.

The Albiceleste’s defensive structure relies heavily on their midfield trio of Enzo Fernández, Alexis Mac Allister, and Rodrigo De Paul to shield the backline. If they are overrun, Algeria’s attackers will have clear routes to goal. Scaloni’s insistence that “equilibrium is principle” hints at a cautious approach, but Algeria’s direct style demands proactive defending rather than reactive.

Messi’s role remains pivotal, but not decisive

Messi’s fitness is no longer the sole concern; his influence is now part of a broader tactical framework. Argentina have shown they can win without him—most notably in their 4-1 thrashing of Brazil during World Cup qualifiers—but his presence still elevates the team’s creativity. Scaloni’s decision to rest him in certain matches, including the 2024 Copa América final, underscores a shift toward collective strength. Yet, against Algeria, Messi’s ability to unlock defences could prove decisive in tight moments.

The opener is not just about results; it’s about rhythm. Algeria will set the tempo, and Argentina must adapt quickly. Scaloni’s squad is settled, with Lautaro Martínez, Julián Álvarez, and Enzo Fernández all in fine form. The question is whether their defensive frailties, exposed in rare but costly moments during qualification, will resurface against a side with nothing to lose.

Argentina’s path to a second consecutive World Cup title is clear, but the road is littered with defensive pitfalls. Algeria’s opening fixture is more than a formality—it’s a stress test for a team that has made winning look easy, but whose defensive foundations remain unproven on this stage. Scaloni’s calm may be reassuring, but history suggests that no reigning champion has ever silenced their critics in the first game of a tournament played so far from home.